New PDF release: Modeling Uncertainty in the Earth Sciences
By Professor Jef Caers
ISBN-10: 111999263X
ISBN-13: 9781119992639
Modeling Uncertainty within the Earth Sciences highlights some of the matters, strategies and sensible modeling instruments to be had for modeling the uncertainty of complicated Earth platforms and the impression that it has on sensible occasions. the purpose of the ebook is to supply an introductory review which covers a huge diversity of tried-and-tested instruments. Descriptions of options, philosophies, demanding situations, methodologies and workflows provide the reader an figuring out of tips to make judgements below uncertainty for Earth technological know-how problems.The booklet covers key concerns akin to: Spatial and time point; huge complexity and dimensionality; computation strength; bills of 'engineering' the Earth; uncertainty within the modeling and choice approach. targeting trustworthy and sensible tools this publication presents a useful primer for the complicated sector of selection making with uncertainty within the Earth Sciences.
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Additional info for Modeling Uncertainty in the Earth Sciences
Sample text
16). J. (2003) Statistics of Earth Science Data, Springer. C. (2002) Statistics and Data Analysis in Geology, John Wiley & Sons, Inc. K. K. Md. (2000) An Introduction to Probability and Statistics, John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1 What is Uncertainty? Uncertainty is present in many aspects of scientific work, engineering as well as everyday life. Each field uses different terminologies and ways to describe, quantify and assess uncertainty. In this chapter, important concepts are discussed, even some philosophical approaches to “uncertainty” that can be treated purely scientific, but because of its many applications has also a societal impact.
For example, we will present modeling techniques to figure out what the probability of contamination of a drinking well is given the available data. To do so, a number of alternative Earth models will be created, some of which show contamination some of them not; the frequency of contamination is interpreted as a probability. In the same context, however, geologist will need to decide what geological depositional system is present in order to create such Earth models. Consider that there is some discussion between a fluvial and an alluvial system being present.
Uncertainty is present in many aspects of scientific work, engineering as well as everyday life. Each field uses different terminologies and ways to describe, quantify and assess uncertainty. In this chapter, important concepts are discussed, even some philosophical approaches to “uncertainty” that can be treated purely scientific, but because of its many applications has also a societal impact. The discussion in this chapter is quite general and may apply to many fields; the chapter is concluded by applying these concepts to some real cases to illustrate more concretely what they mean.
Modeling Uncertainty in the Earth Sciences by Professor Jef Caers
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