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Nor was any effort made to convince the Russians to stand aside in this matter. War now, better than later. Glaringly missing at the Common Council of Ministers was his Most Apostolic Majesty, Kaiser and King Franz Joseph. He had already taken the train back to Bad Ischl. Why? Countless Austrian historians have argued that the Kaiser’s absence attested to the innocence of the meeting, to the fact that nothing of importance was discussed or decided. Nothing could be farther from the truth. To be sure, there was nothing to be decided: Franz Joseph steamed off to Bad Ischl precisely because he had already made the decision to punish Serbia for the regicides days (if not hours) after the murders of Franz Ferdinand and Sophie.

The Compromise of 1867, which gave equal power to the Magyars of Hungary and the Germans of Austria, further estranged the Czechs in Prague. Radicals such as Karel Klamář and Vaclav Klofáć took up contacts with anti-Habsburg leaders in Serbia in the hopes of disrupting any future Austro-Hungarian military mobilization. Few European statesmen, beyond those in Vienna, appreciated that in 1913 Colonel Dragutin Dimitrijević, head of the Black Hand, was promoted chief of Serbian military intelligence.

Fear dominated Viennese planners: fear of Pan-Slavic nationalism; fear of losing the military advantage to Serbia, Russia and France; and fear of forfeiting Berlin’s avowed support. Planners in Vienna decided to eliminate the Serbian problem once and for all and they fully accepted the likelihood of war with Russia. Each scenario ‘gamed’ at the Ballhausplatz had one cardinal feature: Austria-Hungary had to emerge from the crisis as the dominant political force in the Balkans, supplanting Russia and keeping out Germany.

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